Removing the Draw Risk
Football is the only major sport where draws happen regularly — about 25–30% of Premier League matches end level. Double chance removes that outcome from your bet by covering two of the three possible results. It costs you lower odds, but it also removes the variance of the draw, which matters most in tight matches where a single event can decide the outcome.
This guide explains when double chance is genuinely worth using, and when the draw-no-bet or Asian handicap alternative is the smarter bet.
How Double Chance Works
Three options, each covering two outcomes:
| Bet | Covered outcomes | You lose only if... |
|---|---|---|
| 1X | Home win + draw | Away team wins |
| X2 | Draw + away win | Home team wins |
| 12 | Home win + away win | Match ends in a draw |
When Double Chance Makes Sense
Three genuine uses: backing the underdog at X2 when your analysis says they won't lose but you're not confident enough for an outright away win — this is the most common and most profitable use. Backing a strong home team at 1X in a tight match — great for accumulator legs where a draw would break the bet. 12 is rarer but useful when you're confident there will be a winner but don't know which one.
Double Chance vs Draw-No-Bet: Which Is Better?
Both protect against the draw, but differently: double chance covers two outcomes in one bet at reduced odds, while draw-no-bet refunds the stake on a draw and pays on a win. Draw-no-bet usually carries a lower margin, making it the smarter default when you have a clear favourite. Double chance wins when you genuinely believe either outcome is plausible and want coverage on both.
Using Double Chance in Accumulators
Double chance is popular in accumulators because the short odds (1.30–1.60) look safe for adding legs. The real risk is the margin multiplied across legs — a 1X at 1.30 with a 4% margin is still a 4% edge cost per leg. Use double chance in accas only when your analysis genuinely covers both outcomes, not just to inflate leg count.
The Complete Football Betting Toolkit
Double chance is one tool in a broader toolbox: use odds to compare value, Asian handicaps to reduce margins further, football strategies to research properly, and bankroll rules to manage risk. The best football bettors use whichever tool the specific match calls for, not a default approach.


